US President Donald Trump campaigned on cutting the US
corporate tax rate to 15 percent, but administration officials said on
Monday negotiators engaged in closed-door talks are now shooting for a
little over 20 percent because they realize the super-low rate would
balloon the federal deficit.
Republican leaders in
the House of Representatives and the Senate are unlikely to allow the
budget deficit to grow, so officials said they now hope for a corporate
tax at the low end of a 20-percent to 25-percent range.
"It's
going to be truly deficit-neutral," House Ways and Means Committee
Chairman Kevin Brady told reporters. "We're going for permanence. That
means our reforms have to balance in the budget."
Six months into Trump’s presidency, Republicans who
control the House, Senate and the White House have yet to agree on
important features of a tax code overhaul. Under Senate rules,
Republicans who want to take advantage of their simple majority and pass
tax legislation without Democratic support must show the new policies
will not add to the federal deficit after 10 years.
Cutting
the corporate tax rate to 15 percent from the current 35 percent would
cost more than 2 trillion US dollars over a decade, according to
independent analysts, and that total would be hard to offset when
proposals to raise revenue face broad political opposition.
"I
don't think there are 2 trillion US dollars of politically saleable
offsets on the corporate side of the ledger," said Rohit Kumar, a former
aide to Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell who serves as a
principal in the tax policy group at the consulting and accounting firm
PwC LLP.
Two House Republican proposals could help pay for such a
reduction: a border adjustment tax and a proposed elimination of
business deduction of debt interest payments. But these face broad
opposition from industry and many Republican lawmakers.
Administration
officials hope the negotiators will agree on a plan by the end of July,
convert it to legislation during August, unveil it in September and
have Trump sign it into law well before the end of 2017.
Independent
analysts and lobbyists say a more likely timeline would see the release
of tax legislation in October or November and a vote in early 2018.
The
negotiators, Brady, Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, White House
economic adviser Gary Cohn, House Speaker Paul Ryan, Senate Republican
leader Mitch McConnell and Senate Finance Committee Chair Orrin Hatch,
have yet to agree on a new corporate tax rate or how to pay for tax
cuts.
They also have yet to agree on which tax breaks to
eliminate or whether to include a controversial border tax on imports.
They want to end taxation on the foreign profits of US multinational
corporations and must agree on a measure to stop US corporations from
moving headquarters and shifting profits overseas.
Lobbyists say the group is likely to consider a minimum tax on foreign corporate earnings as an alternative to the border tax.
Some
Republicans in Congress acknowledge that it will be a challenge to
identify tax code changes that can unite party factions now battling
over healthcare and a fiscal 2018 budget that includes a legislative
tool crucial for passing tax legislation without Democratic votes.
"The
question is, can we get a framework that has a chance of passage? And
the answer to that is, we'll see," Hatch told reporters after taking
part in a principals meeting last week.