Why e-commerce startups aren’t raising more funding during this historic boom

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After

yesterday’s look

into the somewhat lackluster pace of investment into e-commerce-focused startups this year, a few VCs sent in notes that added useful context. So this morning let’s discuss why the pace of e-commerce startup fundraising has been so milquetoast in 2020.


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To frame the oddity of e-commerce startups not raising a flood of cash during what are historic boom times, we noted Walmart’s staggering online sales growth in Q2, which TechCrunch’s

Sarah Perez

broke out into a separate piece

. Today, for a soupçon more, Target reported

its Q2 earnings. Its results are similar to Walmart’s own, if even more extreme.

The American retailer reported that its “store comparable” sales were up 10.9% in the quarter, which was rather good. But Target also reported that its “digital comparable sales grew 195 percent,” which is staggering. And Target’s revenue mix moved from 7.3% digital in its year-ago quarter to 17.2% in its most recent.

Damn.

If you’ve been around the internet lately, you can’t help but trip over more data detailing this extraordinary moment in e-commerce history — there are years of change happening in just a quarter’s time. For a taste, former Andreessen denizen Benedict Evans has some

great data on U.S. and UK e-commerce growth

, and here’s yet another great chart to chew on

. It goes on and on.

So the e-commerce boom is real, and the startup funding funk is as well,

per the data we ingested yesterday

via CB Insights

. What gives? GGV’s

Jeff Richards

had an idea, and we chatted with Canaan’s

Byron Ling

as well. And we’ve also done a little digging into some of the largest, recent e-commerce rounds to get some flavor on who is raising in the space. Ready?

Why e-commerce VC isn’t going straight up

If you recall, our thesis yesterday was that, perhaps , the killzone theory often posited concerning Amazon meant that the e-commerce space is less investable than we’d otherwise imagine and that because some things are “sorted” to a degree, there is less green space available in the sector for startups to tackle.

Bits of that might be right.