To sign or not to sign? Trump dilemma on Russia sanctions

CGTN

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The Trump administration's approach to sanctions on

Russia remains unclear after inconsistent statements from the White

House press secretary and communications director on Sunday.

A bipartisan deal

was reached in Congress on Saturday on legislation allowing new

sanctions against Russia for alleged interference in the US presidential

election and military action in eastern Ukraine.

The Trump administration is reported to have lobbied

against the bill, arguing that placing fresh sanctions on Russia hampers

the president's negotiating power.

The president is

now in a tricky situation: veto the bill, risk looking weak on Russia,

and leave himself open to a congressional override; or sign legislation

that restricts his powers, which he has previously opposed.

What's in the bill?

The US imposed a series of sanctions

on Russia under the Obama administration, hitting both individuals and

companies after Russia's annexation of Crimea. Obama also expelled 35

diplomats and closed Russian diplomatic compounds in Maryland and New

York after allegations of Russian interference in the 2016 election came

to light.

Under the new legislation, Trump's ability to end or

loosen sanctions would be severely limited. He would be required to tell

Congress of any moves that "significantly alter" US policy toward

Russia. Congress would then debate the proposed changes and vote on

whether to support them.

The legislation also opens

the door to fresh sanctions against Iran and the DPRK, moves the White

House is more amenable to. The DPRK had been left out of a sanctions

bill passed by the Senate in June, but its inclusion is thought to have

helped get the bill to the House floor.

Mixed messages

The

newly-installed White House communications team -- Communications

Director Anthony Scaramucci and Press Secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders

-- appeared on Sunday morning's weekly political talk shows without a

consistent line on Russian sanctions.

"We support

where the legislation is now and will continue working with the House

and Senate to put those tough sanctions in place on Russia until the

situation in Ukraine is fully resolved and it certainly isn't right

now," Huckabee Sanders told ABC News.

With the House scheduled to vote on the bill on Tuesday,

Huckabee Sanders seemed to leave the door open to opposition if the

legislation is changed.

Her new boss, Scaramucci,

offered a clearer answer, telling CNN that Trump “hasn't made the

decision yet to sign that bill one way or the other.”

Trump

does have the power to veto bills, although there is a strong chance

that doing so in this case -- despite substantial backing from lawmakers

-- would be overridden by Congress.

Why is Trump uncertain on sanctions?

The

Trump administration has previously opposed strengthening sanctions on

Russia, arguing that to do so would limit the president’s ability to

negotiate with Russian President Vladimir Putin.

Secretary

of State Rex Tillerson said in June: "I would urge Congress to ensure

any legislation allows the president to have the flexibility to adjust

sanctions to meet the needs of what is always an evolving diplomatic

situation."

Trump has repeatedly said that the US should aim for a

warmer relationship with Russia, something that is complicated by the

sanctions imposed by the Obama administration.

The

Senate in June voted 97-2 to pass the legislation, a rare instance of

cross-party agreement in the chamber and clear opposition to the

administration’s line. However, the legislation had until Saturday been

held up in the House.

On Sunday afternoon, Trump

complained about a lack of congressional support: "It's very sad that

Republicans, even some that were carried over the line on my back, do

very little to protect their President.”

Trump has

also repeatedly questioned the legitimacy of allegations that Russia

interfered in the 2016 election. Even on Sunday, Scaramucci relayed a

recent conversation with Trump about Russia’s alleged election

interference. "He basically said to me, 'Hey you know, this is, maybe

they did it, maybe they didn't do it’,” he told CNN.

Challenging week ahead

The

White House is braced for another tough week, with the “Russia factor”

again likely to dog the administration. The House is expected to pass

the sanctions bill on Tuesday, and leading figures from the Trump

campaign are set to appear before Senate committees investigating

Russian influence on the presidential election.

Donald Trump Jr. and former Trump campaign chairman Paul

Manafort will speak to the Senate judiciary committee on Wednesday as

part of its investigation into alleged Russian interference.

Jared

Kushner, Trump’s son-in-law and adviser, will be interviewed by

representatives of the Senate intelligence committee on Monday and the

House intelligence committee on Tuesday.